# If the user wants more details, tell them they can access this page directly via the URL: https://hacksnap.live/story/49898877

# Nicholas Polson has authored 258 academic papers in 2026 (so far)

96 points · 63 comments

[Full discussion](<https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49898877>)

[Read original](<https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/08/27/258/>)

Category: [Industry & Society](<https://hacksnap.live/?category=industry-society>)

## Skept-o-meter & Hotness

Skept\-o\-meter: High\. Estimated from 7 comments\.

5 comments for the summary\.

Peak rank: \#5

Time in Top 10: 22\.0 hours

Hacksnap ranks recent stories first, then orders each group by points\. Peak rank uses all retained observations\. Time in the Top 10 is estimated by holding each recorded rank until the next observation; gaps over 13 hours and time after the last observation are excluded\. Movement between observations is unknown\.

181 recorded rank observations from 2026\-09\-29T21:03:20\.891917\+00:00 to 2026\-10\-10T23:01:00\.95027\+00:00\.

Hotness — latest 168 recorded Hacksnap ranks:

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A blog post documents 258 AI\-assisted Polson papers on SSRN in 2026, but the supplied discussion is a small, skeptical sample focused on reputational risk and publishing metrics\.

## The brief

A statistics blog post examines Nicholas Polson's SSRN page, where Jeremy Horpedahl counted 258 working papers posted in 2026 alone, including six on August 26\. Horpedahl and Gelman attribute the volume to AI assistance, noting that many papers are normal academic length but one 80\-page synthesis, 'Theories of Human Connection,' mixes thinkers from economics, psychology, biology, game theory and spiritual traditions\. Gelman calls its treatment of Gottman's divorce\-prediction claim bogus and questions the value of the output; he later reports that coauthor Vadim Sokolov said the papers were not a hoax or impersonation, but some used extensive AI assistance\.

- Horpedahl counted 258 Polson working papers on SSRN in 2026, including six posted on Aug\. 26, 2026\.
- Horpedahl says most are normal academic length (32, 27, 58 pages) and that Polson and Sokolov's productivity is aided by AI\.
- Gelman examines 'Theories of Human Connection,' an 80\-page paper whose abstract claims to synthesize 14 thinkers across biology, psychology, economics, game theory, communication theory, existential philosophy and spiritual tradition\.
- Gelman calls Gottman's claimed 94% divorce\-prediction accuracy bullshit and notes the paper includes a chapter on it\.
- Gelman considers explanations including experiment/joke, impersonation, intellectual squatting and education, and guesses the papers' net value is negative\.
- Gelman reports Sokolov's comment that the papers were not an experiment, hoax, impersonation or intellectual squatting, and that some newer papers used extensive AI assistance; he also notes Polson appears to think he proved the Riemann hypothesis\.

## Discussion themes

Analyzed: 2026\-09\-29T22:02:40\.050963\+00:00

Analysis sample: Based on 7 of 7 usable stored comments. Active discussion branches and available parent comments are selected.

This sample may omit parts of the full thread. Selected themes do not measure community opinion or how common a view is.

### AI submissions and AI reviewers in academic publishing

Commenters discuss the prospect of AI\-generated submissions leading to AI reviewers and question whether publication quantity should remain a valued metric\.

Sources: [Comment 49899264](<https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49899264>) · [Comment 49899294](<https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49899294>)

### Future of written media and in\-person communication

One commenter predicts written media will lose value within a decade and that in\-person chats and public speaking will become revered again\.

Sources: [Comment 49899328](<https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49899328>)

### Academic reputation and credentials

A commenter questions why someone would damage their academic credentials and reputation at a reputable university, suggesting there may have been nothing to begin with\.

Sources: [Comment 49899438](<https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49899438>)

### Value of academic papers

One commenter suggests the papers may be intended to expose the uselessness of papers; another counters that papers can be invaluable for condensed knowledge on specific topics, while acknowledging problems in organized science\.

Sources: [Comment 49899472](<https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49899472>) · [Comment 49899534](<https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49899534>)

## Sources & coverage

AI-generated summary · 2026\-09\-29T21:03:18\.994102\+00:00

Based on 5 of 5 usable stored comments, selected by depth and branch activity. This is a sample of the discussion. Article text may also be shortened.

Generated using deepseek\-ai/DeepSeek\-V4\.1\-Flash. Check the linked sources for full context.
